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THE ROLE OF STRESS TRANSFER IN EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE (1999)

An earthquake alters the shear and normal stress on surrounding faults. New evidence strengthens the hypothesis that such small, sudden stress changes cause large changes in seismicity rate. Rates climb where the stress increases (aftershocks) and fall where the stress drops. Both increases and decreases in seismicity rate are followed by a time-dependent recovery. When stress change is translated into probability change, seismic hazard is seen to be strongly inuenced by earthquake interaction.

Reference:
NATURE | VOL 402 | 9 DECEMBER 1999
Organization:
US Geological Survey, MS 977, Menlo Park, California 94025, USA
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