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EARTHQUAKES IN INDIA AND THE HIMALAYA: TECTONICS, GEODESY AND HISTORY (2004)

Damage from large Himalayan earthquakes recorded in Tibet and in Northern India suggests that earthquakes may attain M = 8.2. Seismic gaps along two-thirds of the Himalaya that have developed in the past five centuries, when combined with geodetic convergence rates of approximately 1.8 m/cy, suggests that one or more M = 8 earthquakes may be overdue.
Reference:
ANNALS OF GEOPHYSICS, VOL. 47, N. 2/3, April/June 2004
Organization:
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) and Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, U.S.A.
India, Himalaya
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